It's another journey to begin.

The ‘Clear’ Truth on Pre-Election Surveys

Wow, I can’t believe there’s 2 months remaining before the 2010 National Elections. Everyone knows that a lot of stuff will be new in this election. One new change is the automation system. This automation system can give the results faster than the ordinary manual counting from those yellow ballot boxes. I’m not sure if it can give us an accurate result, so let’s just see. Add the fact that we don’t need to write the name of the candidate in the ballot sheet. As mentioned in GMA’s “Bilog na Hugis Itlog”, you look for the name of the candidate and shade the oval before it. I can say this one removes the hassle of writing the full name of the candidate in the ballot sheet.

It’s good that COMELEC is preparing the ballots and the machines for the elections. Add the fact that private sectors are helping the Filipinos on how to use the machines. Of course, you’d keep on hearing those teasers when you watch news every evening? Do you know what I mean? Well…it’s the SURVEY, lead by Pulse Asia.

Pulse Asia is a sector that asks a certain number of respondents when it comes to the society, culture and any other things that are related to our country. Examples of which are “93% of the respondents don’t trust President Gloria Macapagal Arroyo”, “15% of the respondents would like to leave the Philippines and never come back again.”, “70% of the respondents prefer Facebook over Friendster” and the like. Of course, they won’t miss a chance to survey the percentage with regard to the Presidential and Vice Presidential surveys.

Screenshots from barriosiete.com and reynaelena.com

So as of this moment, based on the surveys held by Pulse Asia, Noynoy Aquino and Mar Roxas are leading in the presidential and vice presidential survey respectively. Then the 2nd leading are Manny Villar and Loren Legarda in the same pattern. Well, that is based ON THEIR SURVEY. But every time you see those polls, you would notice this small “note” at the bottom of the poll. It’s mentioned, 1,800 respondents. Here is the tricky part.

So you saw that Pulse Asia’s surveys are based on those 1,800 respondents. So it’s like 45% of 1,800 respondents would probably vote for Aquino. While 23% of 1,800 respondents would vote for Villar, and so on and so forth. So it was purely based on those 1,800 respondents.

I just want to clarify this for everyone (which is why I posted this :D). Some people might refer to the surveys and whatsoever. Maybe you’re thinking something like: “Gee. Since only 23% would vote for Villar, I would rather vote for Aquino instead.” The surveys doesn’t guide you. The Philippines have a massive population of more than 90 million people. 1,800 is only a SMALL part of the 90 million population. Well, we subtract the minors from the total amount. But then 1,800 is still a SMALL part.

So in summary, you shouldn’t be relying on those surveys. Just like what Zenaida Seva is mentioning during her horoscope segment in Umagang Kay Ganda, “Gabay lamang sila. Kung may free will tayo, gamitin natin ito.” (Horoscopes/Surveys are just guides. If we have the free will, might as well use it.) We have the power to choose. We have the free will and the independence to vote for the desired candidate. Just vote wisely alright.😀

**Too bad I can’t vote yet.😦

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